0x11f808...670f57

0x11f808...670f57
Smart Score
53
Win Rate
70.8%
Total P&L
+$1.4K
Trade Count
59
Sharpe Ratio
0.91
Sortino Ratio
8.11
Max Drawdown
613.3%
ROI
106.5%
Profit Factor
48.24
Kelly Fraction
0.694
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
053.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY66.7¢44.955Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL90.8¢41.25Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY60.6¢41.254Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL76.0¢42.92Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY70.8¢42.924Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL91.6¢32.13Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY77.8¢32.134Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL73.7¢59.59Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY42.0¢59.591Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL94.0¢31.64Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL96.1¢42.16Mar 2
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?BUY51.6¢29.085Mar 1
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?BUY49.9¢30.055Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY79.0¢31.646Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY83.0¢42.169Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?SELL99.9¢31.25Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY80.0¢31.25Feb 25
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?SELL93.0¢68.83Feb 25
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?BUY58.0¢32.759Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?BUY82.0¢40.244Feb 18
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%24%< 10%10–20%20–30%19%30–50%30%50–70%11%70–80%11%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing53.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.93
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.4%
Win Consistency53.8%
Profit Factor1.38
Drawdown Resilience1.12
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.12
Weekly Sharpe est.0.85
Trading Activity59 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$797d profit14d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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