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0x127af74B07B24de97c11E5BDC9CB86cAC84c3344-1769611629586

0x127af7...4c3344
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
64.5%
Total P&L
+$2.0K
Trade Count
3,541
Sharpe Ratio
0.59
Sortino Ratio
2.05
Max Drawdown
636.2%
ROI
4.4%
Profit Factor
1.52
Kelly Fraction
0.220
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY56.9¢19.83Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY57.0¢4.64Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY56.0¢4.39Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY56.0¢25Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?BUY84.0¢11.2Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL39.0¢18.82Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL39.0¢5Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY24.0¢6.9Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY76.0¢1.5Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?BUY78.0¢1.32Mar 4
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?BUY31.0¢3.6Mar 4
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?SELL84.0¢5Mar 4
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?BUY85.0¢13.18Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY6.4¢3.57Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY6.4¢1.955Mar 4
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?BUY70.0¢11.2Mar 4
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?BUY71.0¢9.08Mar 4
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?BUY72.0¢1.58Mar 4
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?BUY72.0¢1.8Mar 4
Spread: James Madison Dukes (-5.5)BUY60.0¢5Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%5%20–30%9%30–50%15%50–70%11%70–80%17%80–90%37%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.30
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.5%
Win Consistency51.5%
Profit Factor0.61
Drawdown Resilience0.50
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38
Trading Activity3,541 trades · 22 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$13,5240d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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