0x148c89...bbee45

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.2%

Total P&L

+$149

Trade Count

377

Sharpe Ratio

0.79

Sortino Ratio

8.74

Max Drawdown

61.7%

ROI

8.4%

Profit Factor

4.75

Kelly Fraction

0.498

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

069.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	63.7¢	18.838	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	62.0¢	19.355	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	43.0¢	27.907	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	20.1¢	59.798	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	27.0¢	44.444	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	17.0¢	61.74	Mar 5
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?	SELL	97.7¢	26.13	Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	SELL	53.5¢	20.01	Mar 4
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?	BUY	96.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?	BUY	88.0¢	13.636	Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	SELL	55.1¢	0.09	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	66.6¢	0.01	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	28.0¢	93.49	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	40.0¢	2.56	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	29.0¢	2.4	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	29.5¢	20	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	44.0¢	55.34	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	44.8¢	19.02	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	39.1¢	0.15	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	39.0¢	5.12	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active69.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.84

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)63.6%

Win Consistency59.8%

Profit Factor1.82

Drawdown Resilience1.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.47

Weekly Sharpe est.1.12

Trading Activity377 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$517d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue