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0x149bcb...c8d435

0x149bcb...c8d435
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
49.3%
Total P&L
+$996
Trade Count
2,057
Sharpe Ratio
0.66
Sortino Ratio
5.59
Max Drawdown
822.2%
ROI
30.6%
Profit Factor
3.01
Kelly Fraction
0.329
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL3.0¢4.2Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY22.0¢4.545Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY22.0¢4.545Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY22.2¢4.505Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY22.2¢4.505Mar 5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.6¢166.667Mar 5
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY1.1¢90.909Mar 5
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢282.595Mar 5
Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢250Mar 5
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY1.6¢62.5Mar 5
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY2.0¢50Mar 5
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY3.0¢33.333Mar 5
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY4.6¢21.739Mar 5
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY4.2¢23.943Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY6.3¢16Mar 5
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.3¢333.333Mar 4
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL2.1¢32.12Mar 4
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.5¢52.25Mar 4
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢260.265Mar 4
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.3¢333.333Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%12%< 10%19%10–20%7%20–30%14%30–50%18%50–70%6%70–80%6%80–90%18%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.85
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.7%
Win Consistency45.1%
Profit Factor0.88
Drawdown Resilience0.71
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71
Weekly Sharpe est.0.54
Trading Activity2,057 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,0613d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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