0x151B01F35ab80aEf3B2fBaCe12Aa5218a7a3C6ca-1768861365941

0x151b01...a3c6ca

Smart Score

Win Rate

26.8%

Total P&L

+$580

Trade Count

2,508

Sharpe Ratio

0.51

Sortino Ratio

35.55

Max Drawdown

10193.4%

ROI

9.3%

Profit Factor

1.33

Kelly Fraction

0.067

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	5.0¢	24	Mar 5
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	4.9¢	25	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	4.0¢	30	Mar 4
BNP Paribas Open: Zachary Svajda vs Marin Cilic	BUY	4.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	3.4¢	36	Mar 4
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	3.1¢	39	Mar 4
BNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrin	BUY	3.9¢	31	Mar 4
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-06?	BUY	5.0¢	24	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 7?	BUY	3.7¢	33	Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	4.8¢	25	Mar 4
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	BUY	4.5¢	27	Mar 4
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	4.8¢	25	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	3.4¢	33	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	3.3¢	37	Mar 4
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	4.8¢	25	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	3.0¢	40	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6?	BUY	3.2¢	38	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?	BUY	4.4¢	28	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	3.6¢	30	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	5.0¢	24	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.3%

Win Consistency44.7%

Profit Factor0.64

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity2,508 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,1114d profit38d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue