0x1564b4...d7afdb

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.2%

Total P&L

+$481

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.90

Sortino Ratio

6.51

Max Drawdown

257.8%

ROI

12.0%

Profit Factor

1.29

Kelly Fraction

0.118

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	1.102	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on March 6?	BUY	99.6¢	0.16	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	1.102	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	1.294	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 6?	BUY	98.8¢	1.113	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 6?	BUY	99.0¢	1.111	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?	BUY	91.0¢	1.209	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	65.0¢	1.692	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	1.294	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	1.222	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 6?	BUY	99.0¢	1.111	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 6?	BUY	99.0¢	1.111	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	1.222	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 6?	BUY	99.0¢	1.111	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 6?	BUY	96.0¢	1.146	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 6?	BUY	98.0¢	1.122	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	64.0¢	1.719	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	96.0¢	1.146	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	1.102	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on March 6?	BUY	99.0¢	1.111	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.1%

Win Consistency37.2%

Profit Factor0.57

Drawdown Resilience0.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,6520d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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