0x15Db4a1C145E5Abd94531ca6754F388Cb91341EE-1761169648352

0x15db4a...1341ee

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.8%

Total P&L

+$97

Trade Count

1,404

Sharpe Ratio

0.71

Sortino Ratio

17.06

Max Drawdown

207.1%

ROI

2.4%

Profit Factor

1.61

Kelly Fraction

0.113

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	BUY	13.1¢	6.98	Mar 5
Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	BUY	13.1¢	33.04	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	14.5¢	22.22	Mar 4
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	11.0¢	45.45	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	24.0¢	13.57	Mar 4
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	BUY	38.0¢	12.66	Mar 4
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	1.79	Mar 4
Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	BUY	9.6¢	0.07	Mar 4
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	SELL	28.0¢	14.61	Mar 4
Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	BUY	9.6¢	52.002	Mar 4
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	SELL	22.0¢	2.85	Mar 4
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	BUY	16.0¢	11.905	Mar 4
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	SELL	28.0¢	3.57	Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	SELL	17.0¢	0.72	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	21.0¢	9.09	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	21.0¢	9.09	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	20.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	SELL	22.0¢	5.09	Mar 4
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	SELL	22.0¢	5.09	Mar 4
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	SELL	22.0¢	5.09	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.8%

Win Consistency42.1%

Profit Factor0.71

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity1,404 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$2602d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue