0x161b06a8d82F4fe3a435ec7546b95f80fC0da1CB-1772447274678

0x161b06...0da1cb

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.6%

Total P&L

+$217

Trade Count

381

Sharpe Ratio

2.64

Sortino Ratio

268.03

Max Drawdown

79.8%

ROI

13.3%

Profit Factor

2.26

Kelly Fraction

0.199

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

058.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	16.1¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	17.2¢	50	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	21.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	22.1¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	22.3¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	22.3¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	22.4¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	22.4¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	22.5¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	22.6¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	19.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	19.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	19.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	15.1¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	15.1¢	35	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	18.4¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	18.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?	SELL	40.2¢	10	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	30.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?	SELL	20.2¢	10	Mar 5

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active58.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.2%

Win Consistency56.8%

Profit Factor1.52

Drawdown Resilience1.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.94

Trading Activity381 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$1121d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue