0x168ca7...957b9e

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.0%

Total P&L

-$9

Trade Count

735

Sharpe Ratio

0.11

Sortino Ratio

0.15

Max Drawdown

4502.3%

ROI

-1.6%

Profit Factor

0.85

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	SELL	73.0¢	0.16	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	SELL	73.0¢	0.16	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	SELL	73.0¢	0.08	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	SELL	73.0¢	0.03	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	SELL	73.0¢	1.6	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	66.0¢	0.85	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.1¢	0.01	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.8¢	0.01	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.8¢	0.01	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)	BUY	99.0¢	3.333	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.5¢	0.02	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	96.7¢	0.15	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	96.7¢	0.12	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	96.1¢	0.01	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	96.1¢	0.15	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	76.0¢	3.88	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	31.0¢	2.45	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	85.0¢	3.882	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	3.626	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	75.0¢	0.05	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.2%

Win Consistency49.8%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity735 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$1834d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue