0x1877cf...bf78d7

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.9%

Total P&L

-$74

Trade Count

428

Sharpe Ratio

0.69

Sortino Ratio

1.83

Max Drawdown

510.2%

ROI

-0.9%

Profit Factor

0.98

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	63.0¢	4.06	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.3¢	14.36	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.8¢	1.13	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.6¢	0.65	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.6¢	20.44	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	66.4¢	40.63	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	25.0¢	19.96	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	26.0¢	4.17	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	26.1¢	99.1	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	33.0¢	67.88	Mar 5
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	BUY	37.3¢	133.872	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	62.0¢	80.694	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	17.0¢	4.38	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	25.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	26.2¢	191.11	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	19.5¢	257	Mar 5
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?	BUY	96.0¢	52.083	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	45.0¢	2.34	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	27.0¢	102.95	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	39.3¢	50.54	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.75

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.4%

Win Consistency45.2%

Profit Factor0.35

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity428 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,4042d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue