0x189343...5dd5ab

Smart Score

Win Rate

84.2%

Total P&L

+$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

0.09

Max Drawdown

40.7%

ROI

1.3%

Profit Factor

1.86

Kelly Fraction

0.389

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

050.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	95.0¢	9.69	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	93.2¢	0.94	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	93.0¢	10.64	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	10.1	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	10.48	Mar 5
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?	SELL	96.4¢	10.41	Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	86.0¢	10.84	Mar 5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	SELL	94.3¢	5.58	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	78.0¢	2.14	Mar 5
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	4.93	Mar 5
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	10.56	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.1¢	10.9	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	85.7¢	13.01	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	SELL	84.0¢	13.88	Mar 5
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?	BUY	95.0¢	10.411	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	94.3¢	10.488	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	93.8¢	5.586	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	91.0¢	2.923	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	91.0¢	7.923	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	1.44	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing50.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.78

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.0%

Win Consistency85.0%

Profit Factor1.31

Drawdown Resilience1.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.81

Trading Activity83 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

+$52d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue