0x18b9b4...ba68bc

0x18b9b4...ba68bc
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
91.2%
Total P&L
+$506
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Sortino Ratio
1.81
Max Drawdown
616.0%
ROI
7.0%
Profit Factor
2.05
Kelly Fraction
0.467
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
030.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on March 6?BUY98.3¢1.658Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on March 6?BUY98.3¢1.658Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on March 6?BUY98.3¢4.161Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.9¢2.852Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.9¢2.852Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.9¢2.852Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.9¢2.852Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.9¢2.852Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.9¢2.852Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.8¢2.856Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.8¢2.856Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.8¢2.956Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.8¢3.457Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.7¢2.808Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY99.7¢2.858Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 6?BUY99.7¢3.741Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 6?BUY99.7¢14.537Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY55.4¢44.947Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?BUY97.0¢13.768Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY97.5¢12.39Mar 4
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%3%20–30%15%30–50%22%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%49%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.70
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.1%
Win Consistency58.4%
Profit Factor0.80
Drawdown Resilience0.65
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65
Weekly Sharpe est.0.49
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 19 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5,1391d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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