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0x190A7aF7600E66D85C0a90a69D5965048173a2c4-1768154872164

0x190a7a...73a2c4
Smart Score
9
Win Rate
42.0%
Total P&L
-$72
Trade Count
225
Sharpe Ratio
2.50
Sortino Ratio
7.07
Max Drawdown
504.9%
ROI
-6.4%
Profit Factor
0.37
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
09.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY24.0¢86.75Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?SELL10.0¢29Mar 5
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?BUY16.0¢143.25Mar 5
Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY9.0¢160Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY36.0¢8Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?BUY9.0¢29Mar 4
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL27.0¢10Mar 4
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY26.0¢10Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?SELL14.4¢10Mar 4
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?SELL24.0¢11Mar 4
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL15.0¢16.67Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?BUY13.7¢10Mar 4
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?BUY19.0¢12.077Mar 4
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?BUY21.0¢11Mar 4
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?SELL28.0¢9Mar 4
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?BUY27.0¢9Mar 4
Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31 SELL23.0¢18Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?BUY22.0¢13Mar 4
Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?SELL30.0¢13Mar 4
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY9.5¢26Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%37%10–20%27%20–30%18%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing9.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.51
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.4%
Win Consistency48.8%
Profit Factor0.24
Drawdown Resilience0.19
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19
Weekly Sharpe est.0.15
Trading Activity225 trades · 7 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1701d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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