0x19C238dF59afd7FB5F34B43465F049373E18b51c-1767678124069

0x19c238...18b51c

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.3%

Total P&L

-$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

4.25

Sortino Ratio

36.32

Max Drawdown

46.4%

ROI

-13.4%

Profit Factor

0.13

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 5
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	99.2¢	1	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	BUY	7.0¢	14.286	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.1¢	1.08	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	52.4¢	3.817	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	56.0¢	2.07	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	48.3¢	2.07	Mar 4
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	1.01	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	40.0¢	2.5	Mar 4
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	75.0¢	2.667	Mar 2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	1.471	Mar 2
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	8.2¢	12.195	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	21.6¢	4.63	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Mar 2
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	99.1¢	1.009	Mar 2
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	1.016	Mar 2
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	1.064	Mar 2
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	1.004	Mar 2
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	1.004	Mar 2
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	1.003	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.3%

Win Consistency55.6%

Profit Factor0.98

Drawdown Resilience0.79

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79

Weekly Sharpe est.0.60

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue