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0x1A05E82DE3c22578C40528d11bC6f91CBAFc17A1-1771909692293

0x1a05e8...fc17a1
Smart Score
8
Win Rate
58.3%
Total P&L
+$15
Trade Count
89
Sharpe Ratio
-1.50
Sortino Ratio
-1.12
Max Drawdown
607.5%
ROI
2.3%
Profit Factor
1.52
Kelly Fraction
0.200
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
08.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY93.0¢14.39Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?BUY90.7¢13.8Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY93.0¢8.51Mar 5
Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?BUY94.2¢8.42Mar 5
Will Ron Eller be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?BUY94.0¢8.51Mar 5
Will Forevergreen win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY93.0¢13.32Mar 5
Will the US add between 125k and 150k jobs in February?BUY94.0¢8.51Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 8?BUY96.5¢10.59Mar 5
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?SELL87.0¢5.29Mar 5
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?SELL87.0¢5.29Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?BUY93.0¢11.75Mar 4
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?BUY92.0¢10.59Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY90.5¢8.78Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY94.9¢8.33Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?SELL89.1¢8.51Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?BUY95.0¢8.42Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY94.0¢8.51Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL84.7¢5Mar 3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY90.0¢6.57Mar 1
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY94.0¢5.55Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%3%10–20%8%20–30%7%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%80%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing8.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.45
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.5%
Win Consistency56.3%
Profit Factor0.21
Drawdown Resilience0.17
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17
Weekly Sharpe est.0.13
Trading Activity89 trades · 9 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2203d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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