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0x1AC6b3153F79F907F00D4042B66ee59dE78EB2Ed-1770901895529

0x1ac6b3...8eb2ed
Smart Score
23
Win Rate
25.8%
Total P&L
+$146
Trade Count
320
Sharpe Ratio
0.71
Sortino Ratio
60.23
Max Drawdown
112.3%
ROI
4.8%
Profit Factor
1.18
Kelly Fraction
0.039
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY58.9¢33.983Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY30.0¢9.55Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY43.0¢9.302Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY40.0¢25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY40.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY40.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY40.0¢12.5Mar 5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY37.0¢13.514Mar 4
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY28.0¢17.857Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 4?SELL82.7¢49.18Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL77.0¢42.41Mar 4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsSELL99.9¢10.16Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on March 6?BUY54.1¢20.336Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY35.0¢42.857Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?BUY48.5¢14.433Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?BUY49.1¢30.548Mar 4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY59.0¢10.169Mar 4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY43.0¢13.953Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%36%< 10%9%10–20%11%20–30%25%30–50%16%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.0%
Win Consistency35.2%
Profit Factor0.60
Drawdown Resilience0.49
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49
Weekly Sharpe est.0.37
Trading Activity320 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3413d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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