0x1B47bE7727F73456925DCfC81FB3D4176dC8D9b3-1765547060387

0x1b47be...c8d9b3

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.6%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.26

Sortino Ratio

-1.16

Max Drawdown

269500.0%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

59.17

Kelly Fraction

0.970

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	99.7¢	21.254	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	10.59	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.58	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	10.571	Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	10.55	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.54	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	10.53	Feb 26
Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	99.9¢	10.521	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.5	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.49	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 21?	BUY	99.6¢	10.482	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	10.44	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 20?	BUY	99.8¢	10.431	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.41	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.4	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 3°C on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.39	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.38	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.37	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or below on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.36	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 17?	BUY	99.9¢	10.35	Feb 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.9%

Win Consistency15.1%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity73 trades · 48 active days

P&L Calendar

$7590d profit48d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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