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0x1Ca3b54e6Ce244B8CbB739EFFCaff05b03dA0158-1770957889925

0x1ca3b5...da0158
Smart Score
6
Win Rate
67.9%
Total P&L
-$8
Trade Count
192
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27
Sortino Ratio
-0.30
Max Drawdown
705.0%
ROI
-0.6%
Profit Factor
0.57
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
05.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.3¢10.292Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.7¢6.472Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢11.29Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.0¢7.67Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢11.29Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.2¢7.675Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.7¢6.19Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.8¢6.198Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.1¢5.35Mar 4
Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)BUY96.6¢10.352Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.3¢5.359Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL52.0¢13.46Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.2¢6.07Mar 4
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)BUY95.0¢8.421Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.3¢6.075Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢7.15Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢7.15Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.3¢17.15Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.3¢17.153Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY52.0¢13.462Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%16%50–70%5%70–80%10%80–90%69%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing5.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.32
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.3%
Win Consistency47.5%
Profit Factor0.15
Drawdown Resilience0.12
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12
Weekly Sharpe est.0.09
Trading Activity192 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2922d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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