0x1Cc365Df15d71017d19Cf8fe5A3B4659D9CCCeF6-1766940186098

0x1cc365...cccef6
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
57.1%
Total P&L
-$27
Trade Count
49
Sharpe Ratio
5.42
Sortino Ratio
42.49
Max Drawdown
138.5%
ROI
-3.5%
Profit Factor
0.52
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
030.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY20.0¢5.9Mar 5
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY19.9¢21.11Mar 5
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY8.0¢30Mar 5
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY19.8¢11.5Mar 5
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY8.0¢100Mar 5
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY7.0¢1.24Mar 5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY64.4¢6.6Mar 5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY64.4¢25.48Mar 5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY64.2¢58.92Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY63.0¢30Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY63.0¢50.97Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY24.3¢8.46Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY24.3¢30Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY24.1¢20Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY63.0¢100Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY62.0¢35.9Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY6.0¢114Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY60.0¢26.96Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY60.0¢3.04Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY72.0¢30Mar 1
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%4%10–20%24%20–30%4%30–50%37%50–70%14%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.69
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.9%
Win Consistency57.1%
Profit Factor0.80
Drawdown Resilience0.64
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64
Weekly Sharpe est.0.49
Trading Activity49 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7570d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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