0x1d247a...e72e44

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.0%

Total P&L

+$1.0K

Trade Count

739

Sharpe Ratio

0.68

Sortino Ratio

4.38

Max Drawdown

516.1%

ROI

5.2%

Profit Factor

1.65

Kelly Fraction

0.204

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	9.0¢	6.68	Mar 5
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?	BUY	39.4¢	101.411	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	42.0¢	119.048	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	22.368	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	37.7¢	132.513	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	20.0¢	186.81	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	10.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	14.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	20.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	24.0¢	11.84	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	24.0¢	84.25	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	24.0¢	11.79	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	24.0¢	42.12	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	32.0¢	197.26	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	29.0¢	179.531	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	34.0¢	215	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	SELL	14.4¢	224.5	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	SELL	1.2¢	266.12	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	266.115	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	SELL	34.8¢	105.26	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.75

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.9%

Win Consistency50.3%

Profit Factor0.83

Drawdown Resilience0.67

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67

Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Trading Activity739 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$37813d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue