0x1d67D7c4CF9786EE3D93f106a39f2C1a4cb42567-1770200633339

0x1d67d7...b42567

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.3%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

306

Sharpe Ratio

0.87

Sortino Ratio

2.28

Max Drawdown

319.7%

ROI

-0.7%

Profit Factor

1.18

Kelly Fraction

0.059

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	45.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	23.0¢	26	Mar 4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BUY	20.0¢	22	Mar 4
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	28.0¢	11	Mar 3
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	48.0¢	25	Mar 3
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	30.0¢	11	Mar 3
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	SELL	35.0¢	4.01	Mar 3
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	SELL	35.0¢	5	Mar 3
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	BUY	32.4¢	12	Mar 3
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	BUY	34.0¢	9	Mar 2
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?	SELL	1.0¢	37	Mar 2
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	25.0¢	26	Mar 2
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	SELL	24.3¢	15	Mar 2
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	BUY	28.1¢	15	Mar 2
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	15.0¢	21	Mar 2
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	61.0¢	5	Mar 2
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	SELL	43.0¢	7	Mar 2
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	BUY	45.0¢	7	Mar 2
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	SELL	82.0¢	6	Mar 2
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	SELL	21.0¢	18	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.83

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.7%

Win Consistency46.9%

Profit Factor0.39

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity306 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$912d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue