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0x1E6eFEab1dD8C74De0CC5b82236d1cCB9B380EaB-1768320784576

0x1e6efe...380eab
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
42.1%
Total P&L
+$126
Trade Count
501
Sharpe Ratio
1.00
Sortino Ratio
27.93
Max Drawdown
152.7%
ROI
7.6%
Profit Factor
1.76
Kelly Fraction
0.182
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSELL47.1¢9.86Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETBUY38.0¢10Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSELL32.0¢4.92Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY50.0¢5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY67.0¢4Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY75.9¢5.072Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSELL9.0¢5Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY36.0¢3Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY35.9¢5.014Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSELL34.1¢5Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY64.0¢5Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL99.5¢19.56Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY97.5¢19.569Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSELL99.1¢10Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY80.0¢10Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSELL65.0¢9.99Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY48.0¢9.615Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY48.0¢0.38Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETBUY31.0¢10Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?SELL99.2¢28.89Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%14%10–20%21%20–30%35%30–50%13%50–70%70–80%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.92
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.9%
Win Consistency72.8%
Profit Factor0.91
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity501 trades · 22 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2315d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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