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0x212

0x5eefef...f327f9
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
55.8%
Total P&L
+$503
Trade Count
383
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Sortino Ratio
2.34
Max Drawdown
187.8%
ROI
4.8%
Profit Factor
1.64
Kelly Fraction
0.218
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETBUY39.9¢2.506Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY43.0¢23.256Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY64.0¢10.938Mar 4
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?BUY89.6¢55.824Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY15.9¢6.285Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY40.0¢2.5Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY38.0¢26.316Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY47.0¢21.277Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY49.0¢4.082Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY10.0¢10Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY48.0¢20.833Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY10.0¢10Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY56.0¢3.571Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY60.0¢8.333Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.9¢111.111Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY6.0¢16.667Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.7¢100.592Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL99.8¢47.64Mar 2
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?BUY82.3¢8.503Mar 2
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?BUY81.8¢61.127Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%5%10–20%9%20–30%12%30–50%25%50–70%14%70–80%16%80–90%10%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.0%
Win Consistency54.2%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity309 trades · 82 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,98922d profit60d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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