0x215547EB9C277bFe94791381E5f1d5B9E4793428-1769026598165

0x215547...793428

Smart Score

Win Rate

39.0%

Total P&L

-$82

Trade Count

639

Sharpe Ratio

0.47

Sortino Ratio

1.31

Max Drawdown

276.0%

ROI

-4.3%

Profit Factor

0.83

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	34.0¢	7.98	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	31.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 5?	BUY	54.0¢	3.88	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 5?	BUY	53.0¢	6.11	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	30.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 5?	BUY	12.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 5?	SELL	33.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	32.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	29.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	30.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	29.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	37.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	35.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	32.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	35.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	39.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	SELL	27.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	22.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	37.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	38.0¢	10	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.57

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.4%

Win Consistency38.2%

Profit Factor0.27

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity639 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$7310d profit35d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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