0x2311C140CeEC158D8fb16a1a1452f720148498ae-1768983114649

0x2311c1...8498ae
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
12.5%
Total P&L
-$176
Trade Count
28
Sharpe Ratio
-0.58
Sortino Ratio
-0.82
Max Drawdown
1898.6%
ROI
-45.4%
Profit Factor
-0.03
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY82.0¢1.22Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY83.0¢1.205Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY19.0¢5.263Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?BUY62.0¢1.613Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY94.0¢1.064Mar 4
Will Trump say "Biden" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY32.0¢3.125Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY71.9¢1.392Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY69.0¢7.246Mar 4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?BUY64.0¢15.625Mar 1
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?SELL37.6¢52.63Jan 21
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January?BUY5.6¢177.368Jan 21
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?BUY24.5¢40.841Jan 21
Will Greenland 2: Migration make 25 million or more domestically by January 31?BUY0.8¢1,309.078Jan 21
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?BUY54.5¢18.362Jan 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 21?SELL0.1¢3,333.33Jan 21
Will Trump say "Affordability" during WEF Address on January 21?BUY65.0¢15.385Jan 21
Will Trump say "NATO" during WEF Address on January 21?BUY13.0¢76.923Jan 21
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?BUY19.0¢52.632Jan 21
Will Trump talk to Jensen Huang in January?BUY24.5¢40.84Jan 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 21?BUY2.7¢370.448Jan 21
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%32%< 10%16%10–20%8%20–30%8%30–50%20%50–70%4%70–80%8%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity28 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1980d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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