0x2488f2...edc286

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.2%

Total P&L

-$692

Trade Count

794

Sharpe Ratio

-0.66

Sortino Ratio

-1.19

Max Drawdown

4125.2%

ROI

-6.3%

Profit Factor

0.70

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	18.326	Mar 5
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	1.358	Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	64.0¢	1.875	Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	47.0¢	2.681	Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	54.4¢	47.021	Mar 3
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?	SELL	71.0¢	0.05	Mar 3
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?	SELL	71.0¢	0.09	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	80.0¢	1.12	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	80.0¢	0.18	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	80.0¢	0.02	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	80.0¢	0.04	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	79.0¢	1.51	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	79.0¢	0.45	Mar 3
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?	SELL	71.0¢	0.01	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	79.0¢	0.26	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	82.0¢	0.1	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	82.0¢	0.06	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	82.0¢	0.02	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	0.85	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	0.09	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.0%

Win Consistency42.0%

Profit Factor0.11

Drawdown Resilience0.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity794 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,7389d profit33d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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