0x24dcB7b7F340347370555b5C1A60a677247541b3-1770778486554

0x24dcb7...7541b3

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$1.5K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.64

Sortino Ratio

-1.69

Max Drawdown

16175.0%

ROI

8.8%

Profit Factor

41.39

Kelly Fraction

0.488

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	BUY	70.0¢	84.86	Mar 5
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	99.8¢	53.788	Mar 5
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	824	Mar 4
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	824	Mar 4
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	58.0¢	20.01	Mar 3
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	58.0¢	215.34	Mar 3
Senators vs. Oilers	BUY	54.0¢	214.56	Mar 3
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	BUY	99.6¢	82.922	Mar 2
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.2¢	1,009	Mar 2
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	1,009	Mar 2
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.1¢	984	Mar 1
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.2¢	984	Mar 1
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?	BUY	67.0¢	125.39	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	90.9¢	34.56	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.2¢	34.567	Feb 27
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.6¢	1,010	Feb 26
Wild vs. Avalanche	BUY	58.0¢	31.26	Feb 26
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.7¢	1,010	Feb 26
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.9¢	1,066.26	Feb 25
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	1,066.26	Feb 25

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.2%

Win Consistency23.8%

Profit Factor0.52

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity32 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,7751d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue