0x265EC3c8e72BF0f9780cDb64C1d7018AC91bCb5D-1768391596937

0x265ec3...1bcb5d

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.8%

Total P&L

-$28

Trade Count

506

Sharpe Ratio

0.74

Sortino Ratio

0.86

Max Drawdown

137.3%

ROI

-1.6%

Profit Factor

0.64

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	65.0¢	7.692	Mar 5
Trump out as President before 2027?	BUY	83.0¢	4.819	Mar 5
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	SELL	89.0¢	13.081	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	64.0¢	7.813	Mar 4
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?	SELL	92.0¢	2.17	Mar 4
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	50	Mar 3
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	89.6¢	5.58	Mar 3
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	70.9¢	9.873	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	76.0¢	19.737	Mar 2
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	8.235	Mar 2
Trump out as President before 2027?	BUY	85.0¢	3.529	Mar 2
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	76.0¢	13.158	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	53.0¢	2	Mar 1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	96.2¢	9.36	Mar 1
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	86.0¢	18.37	Feb 25
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	88.0¢	12.04	Feb 25
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	86.0¢	11.628	Feb 25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?	SELL	95.7¢	1.25	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	79.4¢	8.814	Feb 16
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	SELL	88.0¢	2.27	Feb 16

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.95

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.7%

Win Consistency70.5%

Profit Factor0.45

Drawdown Resilience0.36

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36

Weekly Sharpe est.0.28

Trading Activity506 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$67212d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue