0x27c307...b618cf

Smart Score

Win Rate

0.0%

Total P&L

-$12.8K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.08

Sortino Ratio

135.81

Max Drawdown

24.3%

ROI

-59.1%

Profit Factor

0.00

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	4.6¢	3,543.478	Jan 13
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?	BUY	5.1¢	3,195.936	Jan 13
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?	BUY	2.7¢	25,186.49	Jan 13
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?	BUY	3.0¢	7,828.985	Jan 13
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?	BUY	1.3¢	75.508	Jan 13
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?	BUY	2.0¢	35,042.703	Jan 13
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	4.2¢	16,742	Jan 13
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?	BUY	1.7¢	55,522.356	Jan 13
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?	SELL	13.1¢	5,027.34	Jan 13
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?	BUY	2.5¢	12,321.768	Jan 13
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?	SELL	0.5¢	119,180	Jan 13
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?	BUY	11.8¢	5,027.348	Jan 11
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?	BUY	1.3¢	15,137.436	Jan 11
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?	BUY	9.1¢	2,904.351	Jan 10
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?	BUY	6.8¢	5,176.176	Jan 10
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	30.0¢	4,750	Jan 10
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?	BUY	1.7¢	43,116.242	Jan 10
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?	BUY	1.2¢	60,927.09	Jan 10
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	3.5¢	14,314.286	Jan 10
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	3.5¢	19,114.286	Jan 10

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.0%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.72

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity48 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$12,8130d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue