0x27E451f0d932C57bF0c8bC483BDFE2300649ff39-1763984926486

0x27e451...49ff39

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.8%

Total P&L

-$1.3K

Trade Count

229

Sharpe Ratio

0.29

Sortino Ratio

3.48

Max Drawdown

1815.3%

ROI

-11.8%

Profit Factor

0.74

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	52.0¢	551.923	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	487.805	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	BUY	58.0¢	86.207	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	3.2¢	1,091.676	Mar 4
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	19.0¢	263.158	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	18.3¢	273.421	Mar 4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	12.0¢	416.667	Mar 4
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	24.0¢	345.833	Mar 3
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?	BUY	15.0¢	333.333	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	4.7¢	2,127.66	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	40.1¢	524.025	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	18.6¢	269.068	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	357.857	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	555.556	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	625	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	BUY	3.6¢	1,371.061	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	2,632.579	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	BUY	0.9¢	5,548.093	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	5.5¢	1,828.696	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	6.1¢	704.67	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.89

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.6%

Win Consistency35.0%

Profit Factor0.42

Drawdown Resilience0.34

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.34

Weekly Sharpe est.0.26

Trading Activity229 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,0523d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue