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0x28bB68DdA06C356B7a51EE7352ECd13147C27291-1772003212443

0x28bb68...c27291
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
19.2%
Total P&L
+$435
Trade Count
976
Sharpe Ratio
1.18
Sortino Ratio
26.39
Max Drawdown
664.6%
ROI
11.0%
Profit Factor
1.51
Kelly Fraction
0.065
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 5?SELL94.0¢93Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?SELL2.1¢1Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 5?SELL1.0¢335Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 5?BUY1.0¢55.56Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 5?BUY1.0¢50.62Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 5?BUY1.0¢227.4Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 5?BUY1.0¢1.626Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?SELL2.4¢74Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?BUY2.5¢26.15Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?BUY2.5¢6.34Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?BUY2.5¢15.03Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?BUY2.5¢74Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?BUY2.5¢2.738Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?BUY2.5¢1.036Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?BUY6.0¢44.6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?BUY6.0¢20.2Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?BUY6.0¢11.2Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?BUY6.0¢24Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?SELL1.0¢277Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?BUY0.9¢277.53Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%69%< 10%12%10–20%7%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%10%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%
Win Consistency43.1%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity976 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,4931d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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