0x2924ad...f07ead

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.89

Sortino Ratio

21.09

Max Drawdown

21.5%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.86

Kelly Fraction

0.231

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

055.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	113.76	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.4¢	114.69	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.5¢	114.697	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.7¢	112.16	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.7¢	112.166	Mar 2
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	111.831	Feb 27
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	99.8¢	111.94	Feb 27
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	99.8¢	111.944	Feb 24
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.9¢	112.85	Feb 24
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	112.853	Feb 14
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	113.39	Feb 13
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.8¢	113.391	Feb 11
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.2¢	114.04	Feb 10
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.4¢	114.045	Feb 7
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.9¢	113.47	Feb 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.7¢	113.475	Jan 31

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active55.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.06

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.7%

Win Consistency55.6%

Profit Factor1.45

Drawdown Resilience1.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.89

Trading Activity16 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$2242d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue