0x299371...d65e74

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.5%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.61

Sortino Ratio

-1.30

Max Drawdown

1000.0%

ROI

2.3%

Profit Factor

8.76

Kelly Fraction

0.483

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	60.1¢	11.639	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	43.1¢	20	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	35.0¢	20	Mar 5
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.0¢	7.143	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	97.9¢	7.15	Mar 4
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	BUY	73.0¢	9.589	Mar 4
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	BUY	77.0¢	9.091	Mar 3
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	BUY	37.0¢	18.919	Mar 3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	82.0¢	7.317	Mar 3
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	BUY	94.4¢	5.297	Feb 24
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	BUY	91.0¢	6.593	Feb 24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	6.231	Feb 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.82

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.7%

Win Consistency36.4%

Profit Factor0.39

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity12 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$630d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue