Accrue
Log inGet Access

0x2A6A0866045A16823c388De5eF2d0231A6730d4D-1770957162964

0x2a6a08...730d4d
Smart Score
4
Win Rate
73.7%
Total P&L
-$4
Trade Count
174
Sharpe Ratio
-0.67
Sortino Ratio
-0.72
Max Drawdown
1009.9%
ROI
-0.3%
Profit Factor
0.72
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
04.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.5¢8.556Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢14.51Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY83.0¢6.024Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢14.516Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢8.19Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY61.0¢8.197Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢6.17Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢3.625Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢9.804Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.6¢6.13Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)BUY97.0¢10.309Mar 4
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)BUY95.0¢6.316Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢5.15Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.8¢6.135Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL75.0¢9.33Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY52.0¢19.231Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.9¢5.16Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY75.0¢9.333Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢9.24Mar 3
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.0¢10.24Mar 3

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%14%50–70%6%70–80%10%80–90%70%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing4.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.24
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.0%
Win Consistency42.9%
Profit Factor0.11
Drawdown Resilience0.09
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09
Weekly Sharpe est.0.07
Trading Activity174 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3060d profit21d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics