0x2a96ee...a8b81a

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.5%

Total P&L

+$614

Trade Count

3,894

Sharpe Ratio

0.46

Sortino Ratio

1.66

Max Drawdown

5698.4%

ROI

3.3%

Profit Factor

1.11

Kelly Fraction

0.058

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 1°C or below on March 7?	BUY	1.0¢	334.13	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 7?	BUY	1.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 7?	BUY	1.0¢	15.19	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 7?	BUY	1.0¢	182.81	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 7?	BUY	1.0¢	178.12	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	73.0¢	9.08	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	SELL	98.7¢	0.03	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	SELL	98.7¢	2	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	SELL	98.7¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	SELL	98.7¢	0.03	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	SELL	98.7¢	0.085	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	SELL	98.7¢	5.066	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	SELL	98.7¢	0.805	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	SELL	99.8¢	39.6	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 6?	BUY	98.1¢	8.34	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on March 6?	BUY	99.0¢	1.172	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	BUY	98.0¢	39.6	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.61	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	1.0¢	593	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	1.0¢	487	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.86

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.2%

Win Consistency40.2%

Profit Factor0.41

Drawdown Resilience0.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33

Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Trading Activity3,894 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,0735d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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