0x2aA235DafdB5b1cd4CEd63730295A460945236F6-1761137368785

0x2aa235...5236f6

Smart Score

Win Rate

10.0%

Total P&L

+$939

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.32

Sortino Ratio

6.15

Max Drawdown

142.2%

ROI

20.1%

Profit Factor

1.41

Kelly Fraction

0.029

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	9.0¢	2,111.111	Mar 5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	BUY	10.0¢	300	Jan 16
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	29.0¢	689.655	Jan 8
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?	BUY	10.2¢	390.7	Nov 28
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?	BUY	4.5¢	1,348.282	Nov 28
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	13.2¢	453.316	Nov 28
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 21 2025?	BUY	4.0¢	1,037.431	Nov 21
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 21 2025?	BUY	3.1¢	1,294.474	Nov 21
Will a handshake between Trump and Mamdani only be photographed on November 21 2025?	BUY	32.8¢	304.658	Nov 21
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 21 2025?	BUY	8.9¢	450.706	Nov 20
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?	BUY	15.6¢	642.903	Nov 20
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 21 2025?	BUY	6.3¢	1,197.29	Nov 20
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?	BUY	13.7¢	372.263	Nov 20
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?	BUY	11.0¢	908.5	Nov 19
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	BUY	4.3¢	1,385.299	Nov 18
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?	SELL	5.3¢	1,330.62	Nov 16
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?	BUY	7.5¢	1,330.624	Nov 16
Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	12.9¢	620.971	Nov 12
Will Gambling.com Group (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	14.3¢	279.807	Nov 12
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	15.0¢	266.667	Nov 12

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.95

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.7%

Win Consistency9.8%

Profit Factor0.45

Drawdown Resilience0.36

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36

Weekly Sharpe est.0.28

Trading Activity56 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$9701d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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