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0x2AB0571DBd31336e66e87b9BC4880423F3Df6612-1729054385232

0x2ab057...df6612
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
65.0%
Total P&L
+$9
Trade Count
481
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Sortino Ratio
-0.03
Max Drawdown
738.0%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
2.65
Kelly Fraction
0.405
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.5¢6.22Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢6.211Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETBUY99.0¢20.202Mar 5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY82.0¢6.098Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢5.16Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL83.0¢7.06Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢15.4Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL78.5¢12.36Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢10.25Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢10.246Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢10.32Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.9¢10.32Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY98.6¢8.114Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.8¢10.25Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.8¢10.225Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢7.15Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢7.15Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL68.0¢11.94Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)BUY94.0¢9.574Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETBUY98.0¢10.204Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%9%70–80%9%80–90%66%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.8%
Win Consistency44.8%
Profit Factor0.56
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity481 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$42612d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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