0x2aE5cDF2F2d5d2B2a15a1ac0845b36E71492a2A0-1771225293277

0x2ae5cd...92a2a0

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.2%

Total P&L

-$209

Trade Count

469

Sharpe Ratio

-0.15

Sortino Ratio

-0.28

Max Drawdown

427.8%

ROI

-7.1%

Profit Factor

-0.18

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	70.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	71.2¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	72.0¢	10	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	69.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	20	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	66.0¢	8	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	10	Mar 5
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	51.0¢	10	Mar 4
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	52.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	94.5¢	95	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	BUY	34.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	BUY	70.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	BUY	71.5¢	10	Mar 4
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	BUY	80.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	SELL	5.1¢	76.784	Mar 4
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	SELL	5.1¢	25.098	Mar 4
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	SELL	5.1¢	30	Mar 4
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	SELL	5.1¢	13.92	Mar 4
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	SELL	10.0¢	231.62	Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency48.3%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity469 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$6527d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics