0x2b4a27...8f7bd0

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.0%

Total P&L

-$23

Trade Count

1,464

Sharpe Ratio

0.32

Sortino Ratio

25.74

Max Drawdown

86541.7%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.92

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.14	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.15	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.11	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.13	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.26	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.12	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.34	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.12	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.13	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.15	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.22	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.13	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.13	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	0.14	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	97.9¢	1.45	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	86.0¢	5	Mar 4
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 4
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	12.0¢	10.68	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BUY	78.0¢	25.641	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.8%

Win Consistency41.7%

Profit Factor0.74

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity1,464 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2384d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue