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0x2De4D69681819F3797024a22AAA53bE7b407c8e6-1770059183370

0x2de4d6...07c8e6
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
15.7%
Total P&L
+$58
Trade Count
1,196
Sharpe Ratio
0.98
Sortino Ratio
22.77
Max Drawdown
1887.5%
ROI
1.3%
Profit Factor
1.28
Kelly Fraction
0.034
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL2.8¢35.83Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.8¢23.216Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL13.2¢20.5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL13.1¢49.25Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY30.8¢40.676Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.1¢69.752Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL12.9¢79.7Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY23.9¢79.707Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.9¢274.16Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL24.6¢44.46Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL3.5¢220.98Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL38.4¢180.95Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL23.0¢286.7Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY25.3¢55.877Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY41.0¢34.146Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY41.0¢24.39Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY25.3¢39.526Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY25.5¢117.486Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY41.0¢73.171Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY25.5¢39.216Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%60%< 10%20%10–20%12%20–30%5%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.31
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.7%
Win Consistency45.3%
Profit Factor0.62
Drawdown Resilience0.50
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38
Trading Activity1,196 trades · 31 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$13710d profit21d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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