0x2F6405e90f1A8B7EE9ba2951041c979Fdd119138-1761826529649

0x2f6405...119138

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.3%

Total P&L

+$29

Trade Count

2,268

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

0.72

Max Drawdown

9477.8%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.01

Kelly Fraction

0.004

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	85.0¢	11.765	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	29.0¢	17.241	Mar 5
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in March?	BUY	0.4¢	750	Mar 5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	SELL	95.0¢	11.62	Mar 4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY	43.0¢	11.628	Mar 4
Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	50.05	Mar 4
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	2,702.703	Mar 4
Bitway FDV above $400M one day after launch?	SELL	99.8¢	50.12	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.6¢	20	Mar 3
Bitway FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	99.7¢	50.129	Mar 3
Bitway FDV above $200M one day after launch?	BUY	99.1¢	30.272	Mar 3
Bitway FDV above $20M one day after launch?	BUY	99.9¢	30.03	Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	SELL	0.2¢	17.26	Mar 3
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	BUY	86.0¢	34.884	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	46.0¢	100	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	49.0¢	100	Mar 2
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	4.1¢	8.61	Mar 2
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	4.1¢	8.342	Mar 2
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	4.1¢	8.342	Mar 2
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	4.1¢	5.214	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.6%

Win Consistency52.6%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity2,268 trades · 127 active days

P&L Calendar

$70,10031d profit96d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue