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0x3069303E17299d795dF9EB7007c370621Ce863F2-1765548715474

0x306930...e863f2
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
100.0%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
66
Sharpe Ratio
-1.34
Sortino Ratio
-1.18
Max Drawdown
127775.0%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
10.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 5?BUY99.9¢21.161Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 4?BUY99.9¢10.45Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.44Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.43Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?BUY99.9¢10.42Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.4Feb 27
Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?BUY99.9¢10.39Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.38Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.37Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.36Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 20?BUY99.5¢10.352Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.3Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.29Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.28Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C or below on February 18?BUY99.8¢10.271Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.25Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.24Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 16?BUY99.8¢10.23Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 15?BUY99.9¢10.21Feb 15
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 15?BUY99.9¢10.2Feb 15

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.0%
Win Consistency25.8%
Profit Factor0.46
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity66 trades · 46 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6870d profit46d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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