0x30731b...19b729

Smart Score

Win Rate

92.5%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

231

Sharpe Ratio

-1.08

Sortino Ratio

-1.05

Max Drawdown

5360.0%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.82

Kelly Fraction

0.416

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	BUY	0.1¢	5	Nov 28
Liverpool wins the Premier League?	SELL	51.3¢	120	Nov 28
Liverpool wins the Premier League?	BUY	51.4¢	120	Nov 28
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?	SELL	90.5¢	155	Nov 28
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?	BUY	89.2¢	155	Nov 28
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	SELL	26.3¢	82	Nov 28
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	BUY	26.4¢	82	Nov 28
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	SELL	69.8¢	198	Nov 28
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	BUY	69.2¢	198	Nov 28
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	SELL	99.4¢	6,923.4	Nov 13
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	BUY	99.4¢	6,923.4	Nov 13
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	SELL	99.4¢	6,923.4	Nov 13
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	BUY	99.4¢	6,923.4	Nov 13
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	SELL	99.4¢	6,923.4	Nov 13
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	BUY	99.4¢	6,923.4	Nov 13
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	SELL	99.4¢	6,923.4	Nov 13
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	BUY	99.4¢	6,923.4	Nov 13
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	SELL	99.4¢	6,923.4	Nov 13
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	BUY	99.4¢	6,923.4	Nov 13
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	SELL	99.4¢	6,923.4	Nov 13

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.03

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.1%

Win Consistency5.0%

Profit Factor0.49

Drawdown Resilience0.39

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39

Weekly Sharpe est.0.30

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue