0x31425ec717B19D476F5c4088cdcfB216F753441f-1772673530248

0x31425e...53441f

Smart Score

Win Rate

86.1%

Total P&L

+$23

Trade Count

186

Sharpe Ratio

-1.74

Sortino Ratio

-1.75

Max Drawdown

1151.1%

ROI

3.6%

Profit Factor

1.34

Kelly Fraction

0.217

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 6?	BUY	97.0¢	5.155	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	5.882	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	83.0¢	6.024	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?	BUY	87.0¢	5.747	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 6?	BUY	73.0¢	6.849	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	86.0¢	5.814	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	81.0¢	6.173	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	5.556	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 6?	BUY	75.0¢	6.667	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 6?	BUY	96.0¢	5.208	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 6?	BUY	76.0¢	6.579	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	5.556	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	79.9¢	6.262	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	87.0¢	5.747	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	5.556	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	64.0¢	7.813	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	91.0¢	10.989	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	89.0¢	11.236	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?	BUY	83.0¢	6.024	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.59

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.8%

Win Consistency40.7%

Profit Factor0.28

Drawdown Resilience0.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity186 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$6250d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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