0x314769b88ce10C823ec2Ed50C86e0A67b25e61BD-1764714128400

0x314769...5e61bd

Smart Score

Win Rate

19.2%

Total P&L

-$420

Trade Count

1,714

Sharpe Ratio

1.46

Sortino Ratio

136.55

Max Drawdown

834.3%

ROI

-8.9%

Profit Factor

0.60

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	5.15	Mar 5
Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	0.3¢	100	Mar 5
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	0.1¢	100	Mar 5
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.1¢	24.71	Mar 5
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.1¢	33	Mar 5
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.1¢	5	Mar 5
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.1¢	17	Mar 5
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.1¢	20.29	Mar 5
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.1¢	19.68	Mar 5
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.1¢	7	Mar 5
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.1¢	19	Mar 5
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.1¢	53	Mar 5
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.1¢	1.32	Mar 5
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.1¢	100	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?	BUY	98.9¢	1.011	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	100	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	0.1¢	39.5	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	0.1¢	10.5	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	0.1¢	50	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	100	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.3%

Win Consistency78.5%

Profit Factor0.69

Drawdown Resilience0.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56

Weekly Sharpe est.0.43

Trading Activity1,714 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,1629d profit33d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue