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0x315f862c42403a4697cEEf0f6B0eBFC0d13985C6-1767889823190

0x315f86...3985c6
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
24.6%
Total P&L
+$66.5K
Trade Count
732
Sharpe Ratio
0.70
Sortino Ratio
3.61
Max Drawdown
400.3%
ROI
698.6%
Profit Factor
30.71
Kelly Fraction
0.238
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
036.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US strikes Iraq by February 28?BUY0.1¢5,000Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL12.8¢1,144.04Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY14.8¢338.695Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY18.9¢163.947Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?BUY8.5¢643.442Mar 4
Will Trump say "xAI" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY0.8¢240.527Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL1.0¢431.57Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY5.8¢431.57Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.0¢7,000Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY4.6¢651.974Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY19.0¢263.158Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY1.1¢918.274Mar 4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL1.6¢1,177.09Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL38.0¢283.84Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL1.7¢5,172.41Mar 4
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?SELL16.0¢665.23Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?SELL94.0¢16.76Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.2¢1,000Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY0.2¢1,000Mar 4
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?BUY0.1¢15,000Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%12%< 10%10–20%11%20–30%34%30–50%29%50–70%9%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.1%
Win Consistency38.6%
Profit Factor0.95
Drawdown Resilience0.76
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76
Weekly Sharpe est.0.58
Trading Activity732 trades · 11 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,9282d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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