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0x319eFd22551E070C63fC8B4962b578083465C80B-1766513703487

0x319efd...65c80b
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
94.6%
Total P&L
+$122
Trade Count
3,997
Sharpe Ratio
-9.40
Sortino Ratio
-8.73
Max Drawdown
29442.8%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
45.61
Kelly Fraction
0.925
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?SELL99.5¢2.09Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY98.8¢7Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?SELL98.0¢5.88Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?BUY97.9¢5.88Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY98.7¢7Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 5?SELL99.9¢7Mar 5
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY97.2¢7Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?BUY98.2¢7Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?SELL99.1¢4.09Mar 5
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL98.6¢4.82Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY98.6¢2.1Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?SELL98.3¢7Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?SELL99.4¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY99.1¢7Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL98.4¢1.25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?SELL99.0¢2Mar 5
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL97.7¢7Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 5?SELL98.7¢7Mar 5
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL98.6¢2.18Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL98.5¢5.746Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.56
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.8%
Win Consistency41.0%
Profit Factor0.74
Drawdown Resilience0.60
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity3,997 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1990d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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