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0x323f28528efd924D6B73bE2cb10510A1B2d6A511-1772490550477

0x323f28...d6a511
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
41.2%
Total P&L
+$16
Trade Count
44
Sharpe Ratio
2.30
Sortino Ratio
10.99
Max Drawdown
1108.1%
ROI
6.8%
Profit Factor
1.47
Kelly Fraction
0.131
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
036.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY13.3¢7.519Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.7¢142.857Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL57.0¢10.49Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY54.0¢3.704Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY42.2¢50Mar 4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?SELL79.0¢10Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY56.1¢1.783Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY21.0¢49.762Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY1.8¢111.111Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL29.4¢11.96Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY25.1¢11.952Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL82.0¢19.94Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL15.0¢20.37Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY18.0¢19.944Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL89.5¢14.15Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETSELL99.1¢12.35Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETBUY74.0¢2.703Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETBUY57.9¢3.454Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETBUY64.9¢3.082Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETBUY61.0¢3.279Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%13%< 10%10%10–20%10%20–30%20%30–50%30%50–70%13%70–80%3%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.2%
Win Consistency58.8%
Profit Factor0.95
Drawdown Resilience0.77
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77
Weekly Sharpe est.0.58

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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