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0x34663E6B5C6bECd41420a89f8cCF84E51a678D23-1771517709858

0x34663e...678d23
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
21.7%
Total P&L
-$32
Trade Count
36
Sharpe Ratio
3.07
Sortino Ratio
41.61
Max Drawdown
40.0%
ROI
-41.6%
Profit Factor
0.26
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
037.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY2.0¢42Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY2.0¢13.88Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY2.0¢5.12Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY7.3¢13.75Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY7.3¢13.748Mar 5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?SELL79.6¢7.65Mar 5
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?BUY59.0¢6.746Mar 5
Will MrBeast say "Challenge" during his next YouTube video?BUY20.0¢5Mar 5
Solana Up or Down on March 5?BUY53.0¢1.887Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 7AM ETBUY55.0¢1.818Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?BUY26.0¢3.846Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?BUY2.4¢83.333Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY11.0¢9.091Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY10.0¢10Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?BUY16.0¢6.25Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?BUY19.0¢10.526Mar 5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY71.5¢7.65Mar 3
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?BUY2.6¢38.644Mar 3
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?BUY0.1¢807.89Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY10.9¢9.174Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%34%< 10%25%10–20%13%20–30%9%30–50%16%50–70%3%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.05
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.9%
Win Consistency41.7%
Profit Factor0.97
Drawdown Resilience0.78
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.78
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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