0x34b272...675534

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.6%

Total P&L

-$264

Trade Count

618

Sharpe Ratio

-0.52

Sortino Ratio

-0.71

Max Drawdown

11858.0%

ROI

-12.1%

Profit Factor

0.54

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	SELL	88.0¢	2.08	Mar 5
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	86.0¢	0.08	Mar 5
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	84.0¢	0.08	Mar 5
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	83.0¢	0.17	Mar 5
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	83.0¢	0.17	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	38.0¢	0.09	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	40.0¢	4.15	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	38.0¢	1.41	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	74.0¢	2.068	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	36.0¢	1.3	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	89.1¢	1.16	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	92.0¢	1.163	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	84.0¢	2.714	Mar 4
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	1.137	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?	BUY	93.0¢	1.806	Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	SELL	92.0¢	1.34	Mar 4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	4.13	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	80.0¢	6.47	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	79.0¢	12.61	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	80.0¢	0.19	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.37

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.2%

Win Consistency49.2%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity618 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,5521d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue